Analysts shift Kansas’ US Senate race from ‘safe R’ to ‘likely R’ — a small change with big impact

By: Anna Kaminski

Outlets: Kansas Reflector

Published: August 7, 2026

Words: 407

Last Updated: 1 week, 4 days ago

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TOPEKA — National election forecasters softened their ratings in Kansas’ U.S. Senate race following a Kansas City-area pastor’s Democratic primary win, prodding Democrats to build the momentum necessary to topple nearly a century of Republican dominance.

The Rev. Adam Hamilton beat out 10 Democratic opponents with roughly 35% of votes, propelling him to a November face-off with incumbent U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall. Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia and the Cook Political Report …

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