Analysts shift western Montana congressional district to toss-up status

By: Micah Drew

Outlets: Daily Montanan

Published: October 17, 2026

Words: 1,055

Last Updated: 6 hours, 8 minutes ago

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Three political analyses this week moved Montana’s competitive western congressional race toward the Democratic candidate, with two shifting the race into “toss up” status.

The race by Democratic smokejumper Sam Forstag and Republican veteran and radio host Aaron Flint has been Montana’s most competitive federal election since current Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke announced his retirement. Libertarian Nick Sheedy is also running.

In rapid succession, Fox News, the …

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